Hello everyone, first off I just wanted to apologize for being off the grid these past few days. It was actually my three year anniversary with my girlfriend and so I was away for the weekend. We did a variety of different activities from checking out a lobster bake at Penthouse 808 in Long Island City to boat riding at Central Park to checking out Matilda on Broadway. They were all a lot of fun and you can expect reviews of each one of those in the coming weeks. Due to this, I was unable to give you guys the usual Picks entry you’ve come to expect but will return with that this Friday. However, what I was able to do was post some of my picks over on twitter (@TommyOnTheSpot) throughout the week. I hate missing more than one but I missed two this week, including our lock of the week- the Detroit Lions who got manhandled by the Minnesota Vikings. It looked like Adrian Peterson was able to knock off some of that rust from week 1 and Matt Stafford just doesn’t look like himself. I also missed badly on the Titans (-1) over the Browns. This was a game that I wouldn’t have touched had Josh McCown been starting for the Browns but I got suckered in when I heard Manziel was starting. While I’m not a believer in Johnny Football, I should have realized a rookie quarterback on the road in Cleveland so early in the season wasn’t going to be able to do much. Like I said in my preseason predictions, there will be growing pains with Marcus Mariota.
The good new is that I absolutely cleaned up with the rest of my 1pm picks yesterday connecting on the Patriots (-1), the Cardinals (-2), the Steelers (6), the Falcons (+2) and the Bengals (-3). I then ended then night out strong by picking the Packers (-3.5). This brings our total over here this season up to 11-3 with our NFL Picks Against The Spread and we’ll attempt to keep the hot hand going with Monday Night Football tonight. Remember with the Sunday night, Monday night and Thursday night games, I’m going to give you guys a prediction because they are the primetime games but I’m not including them in my picks of the week. That said, I do think the primetime games are a little bit easier to pick sometimes due to the fact that they allow you to focus in on one key game. With that said, let’s get into today’s game.
In the interest of full disclosure, I’m a big fan of the New York Jets, I like them more than any team in any sport and have rooted for them my entire life. You will very rarely see me pick against them as one of the picks I choose to place action on but since they’re playing on Monday Night, I’ll will remain as impartial as I can be when I pick the Jets (+7) tonight. I’m not saying the 1-0 Jets are going to beat the 0-1 Colts in Indy but I expect them to keep it close. The number one thing I look at here is the injuries that the Colts have. It remains unclear if Robert Mathis will make his season debut and also remains unclear if TY Hilton is going to play. If Hilton is out this means that Andrew Luck is left with unproven Donte Moncreif and Andre Johnson, who he really didn’t seem to click with during Week 1. Furthermore, I’m already pretty unimpressed with the Colts on the defensive side of the ball and now Cornerbacks, Greg Toler and Darius Butler have both been ruled out as well. I’d look for Eric Decker to have a big game tonight and for Ryan Fitzpatrick to exploit the weaknesses that Indy has at the cornerback position tonight.
Thus, my pick is The New York Jets (+7), I expect a close game and don’t be shocked to see the Jets win the game outright. Until next time who were some of your winners and losers from last night?