Top of the morning to you everyone…well I guess really it’s good evening to most of my readers and followers but I’m coming to you live from the United Arab Emirates. Ever since I met my girlfriend, over 3 years ago, she has been talking about going to Dubai and so this year I finally made it happen. With Dubai being a solid 8 hours ahead of us New Yorkers, the time change has really been killing us. We sleep when we can for a few hours here and there but we usually aren’t tired until around 6 or 7 AM and then have trouble getting up any earlier than 3 pm…I say this but it really is only our second night here so hopefully it’ll get better. In any event, tonight I fell asleep aroun 3 Am only to wake up a few hours later a bit after 5. After tossing and turning for almost an hour, I threw in the towel and decided to come provide you guys with the picks you’ve come to depend on each week on thedailyspotlight.com.
One thing that’s really interesting is that the NFL really isn’t much of an entity at all here in the middle east. There is much more of an emphasis on Soccer and Rugby (and WWE for that matter but that’s another blog for another day) then the sports we follow in the states. This is to the point that until moments ago I hadn’t even known the Royals won the pennant and that was only because I flipped over to espn to find the updated NFL injury report. Now that I do have that report, what a segue way this is, let’s finally get into the reason you’re all here your top NFL picks against the spread.
Now it took until week 6 but we finally did hit double digits in losses on the year when I took two losses with both the Ravens ( who we can officially right off as a bad football team for 2015) and the Arizona Cardinals (who I can’t lie really surprised me in a bad loss last week to a number three quarterback). Regardless we are still rolling after a 5-2 week 6 bringing our total up to 34-11 on the year. I’ll be honest being on vacation, I considered taking this week off but my goal is to bring you winners every week and so I’m going to try to do just that yet again. This is a tough week so proceed with caution but let’s hope Dubai brings us luck. The picks for Week 7 in the NFL…
Cleveland Browns (+7) over The St. Louis Rams
On a tough week this game immediately jumped right out at me. The Rams play hard for Jeff Fisher, no doubt, they are usually in ever game right down to the finish and often play up for division games. But this isn’t a division game…and I can’t recall the last time the the Rams blew anyone out. On the other side of things you have a Browns team that despite a 2-4 record has played every game close and almost beat the undefeated Broncos last week. Josh McCown is playing at an elite level and always gives his team a chance. Remember, I don’t picks underdogs that I think have no shot to win. Don’t be surprised if the Browns do just that.
San Diego Chargers (-3) over Oakland Raiders
Talk about a team that shouldn’t be 2-4, how about the San Diego Chargers who have lost some real heartbreakers. Phillip Rivers proved last week that on any given Sunday (great movie), he can compete with any quarterback in the league, even Aaron Rodgers in Lambeau, in what was arugably the best game of the 2015 season. Now the Chargers have the Raiders coming to town with the season on the line and I like their chances. Only a field goal, roll with it!
Dallas Cowboys (+3.5) over New York Giants
I was finally starting to believe in the New York Giants last week and then…bad Eli showed up! Scratch that! Terrible Eli showed up. Now the Cwobys come to town off their bye and it’s officially the Matt Cassell era in Dallas. The Cowboys now know that Dez Bryant is probably one more week away and if they can just tread water until then the division is right there for the taking. Will Matt Cassell fair better than Brandon Weeden? Well he can’t fair much worse. When a player has lost that many starts in a row, that losing stigma has to project in his confidence and in his leadership. Cassell won’t fight Tony Romo for his starting job, but he’ll do enough to hang onto it until he’s ready. Cowboys will rally around their new QB and may steal one at Metlife. (Note: This was my final pick of the week. I was prepared to go Bills but they just have too many injuries so the Cowboys were my backup pick, take that for what it’s worth)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) over Washington Redskins
In a tough week, a lot of my picks here are being determined by that extra half a point. The Redskins looked awful last week against the Jets in a game I watched all 60 minutes of. The Jets are ight years better than the Bucs but the Bucs have some talent, in particular, on the offensive side of the ball. Coming off their be this gives Mike Evans and Doug Martin a chance to get healthy and Lovie Smith a chance to get Jameis Winston two weeks of preparation. Kirk Cousins just isn’t the answer at quarterback for the Redskins and if this becomes a close game, I’m going the other way almost every time.
Kansas City Chiefs (-1) over Pittsburgh Steelers
Ben Roethlisberger is officially out on Sunday which means that Landry Jones will be in at quarterback and the reason this line is so low is because Landry Jones looked pretty good in a shocking win over the Cardinals last week. Don’t get me wrong, Landry Jones gives the Steelers the best chance to win in Big Ben’s absence but also understand that the reason he looked so good last week was because he was playing a team that spent all week preparing for Mike Vick. Andy Reid should have the Chiefs prepared for the rookie quarterbac who has the uneviable taks of heading to Arrowhead. If the Chiefs can’t find a way to win this week, they may no win a game the rest of the season.
Atlanta Falcons (-6.5) over Tennessee Titans
Well you knw it was going to happen that at some point the Falcons were going to flirt long enough with dangers in the fourth quarter to not allow Matt Ryan to pull out a comeback for the win and that happen last week at the Superdome. Honestly, that loss was probably the best thing that could have happened to the Falcons and the worst thing that could have happened to the Titans. This should light a fire under the Falcons collective asses as they now had 10 days to think about it. To make matters worse for the Tennessee Titans, they’ll be starting the selfie loving Zach Mettenberger at quarterback. Forget all this talk about a trap game, Falcons should win this one running away,
LOCK OF THE WEEK: New York Jets (+10) over The New England Patriots
What were you expecting something else. Call me a homer, call me whatever you want but I’m taking my New York Jets in Foxboro this week. This should be a tight division game between two teams with one loss between them and this line is just plainly disrespectful. If you don’t think the Jets and their number one defense smell blood and want to take down the undefeated champs then you got another thing coming. I won’t say the Jets are going to win but damn it I don’t think that defense will let them get blown out. I’d understand 7 but 10 really is a slap in the face. I’ll be rooting for them and maybe this is a heart pick but the Jets are my lock of the week and I haven’t lost one of those yet!
That’s going to do it for me but be sure to give me a follow over on twitter @TommyOnTheSpot which is where I’ve been dong my picks the last few weeks and where I make many announcements on this site. Also I always welcome your feedback either in the comments section below or via email at email@example.com, I respond to all questions so send them in. Until next time, best of luck everyone.